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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2025-07-09T17:30:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-07-09T17:30Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/39999/-1
CME Note: CME first seen to the NW in GOES CCOR-1 starting around 2025-07-09T17:30Z. CME is also seen to the N in STEREO A COR2. CME is covered by a data gap in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. A possible source for this CME is an eruption to the SW of AR 14137 beginning around 2025-07-09T15:30Z. Some faint ejecta can be seen leaving the disk in SDO AIA 304. If this candidate is the source of the CME, there is some significant deflection to the NW.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-07-12T20:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.
Lead Time: 52.65 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-07-10T15:21Z
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